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Tom Swerling, Global Head of Equity Capital Markets, explores the ECM opportunities in H2, including an improving environment for IPOs, investor interest in megatrends, and market innovations that are set to accelerate through the second half of the year.
The first half of 2024 has seen sustained, strong index performance on both sides of the Atlantic. That, in turn, has supported robust transactional volumes in the quick-to-market activity such as follow-on offerings and convertible bonds. As we go into the second half of 2024, investors will have more confidence on the path of interest rate cuts in Europe and in the US. In turn that will facilitate a further opening of the IPO market. We expect the private equity community to be a key driver of activity, both in the second half of 2024 and into 2025. Private equity funds have a number of scaled assets absolutely ready to debut in the public market, and they are eager to demonstrate velocity of capital on the existing portfolio base, as they then look to deploy dry powder to make new investments.
We are seeing strong investor interest in transactional opportunities in two converging trends: AI and the energy transition. And, over the next 12-24 months, we expect to see transactional opportunities driven by that investor interest, across a broader range of adjacent sectors. For example, the impact of AI is expanding from the immediacy of the semiconductor sector to a broader range of directly and indirectly related industries. So we are starting to see interest also in data centres, energy solution providers through to power producers.
In today’s higher cost of capital environment, some issuers will need to access new products, new markets, new structures in order to access the capital that they require for growth. One example of this innovation is the growth in private capital markets to provide effective capital solutions to pre-IPO companies. Similarly, I expect to see an increase in the use of the equity-linked market, as companies look to both diversify and reduce their cost of funding in this higher cost of capital environment.
About the expert
Tom Swerling
Global Head of Equity Capital Markets
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