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Warnings that rising US debt levels are reaching a crisis point have waxed and waned for decades. However, today’s high interest rates and uncertain US fiscal situation raise urgent questions about whether US government debt – at roughly 100% of GDP currently – is sustainable. With a US election looming, and the obvious solutions of spending cuts and tax hikes being a hard sell to voters, there is increasing potential for a real crisis to emerge.
In episode 59 of The Flip Side, Jeff Meli, Global Head of Research, and Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research, look at a matter of vital importance to global investors and most Americans, debating whether the clock is indeed ticking toward a debt crisis or whether continued economic growth will buy the US enough time to avoid a fiscal meltdown.
Authorised clients can read our latest take on global macro thoughts in Trapped capital and the changing nature of financial shocks, available on Barclays Live.
Transcript
About the experts
Jeff Meli
Global Head of Research
Ajay Rajadhyaksha
Global Chairman of Research
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